well I have decided to try a personal challenge.
To preface
this, I have ran kinda bad lately. I am also unhappy with my lack of
bankroll management and trying to chase my losses at a higher limit,
tilt or whatever.It's all pretty shitty in fact. I am having difficulty in committing myself to a proper bankroll management criteria.
Last week I read an article on the Kelly criterion, and general bankroll management.
There was also a discussion of compounding profits and bankroll
building. I decided to set up an excel spreadsheet and test out
different formulas and examining the effects of compounding profit.
It really fascinating
to examine the trend when earning a consistent return. However, the
return on poker is not consistent and can have a wide range in results.
When moving up in limits the competition becomes harder, and there may
be some related loss in adjusting to the level of play.
I want to try and follow a strict bankroll management regimen. Setting goals, and following guidelines that properly dictate the buy in level I will be playing.
BankrollSince I have been running bad lately I have decided to withdraw all but $100 of my bankroll. This will be my starting bankroll for the challenge.
Goal PBII dont want to dont want to be overly optimistic in my achievable Percentage of Bankroll Increase (PBI) .. I think that a 7% weekly PBI is possible. I am going to use this as my weekly goal.
I know I will have some weeks that are over 7% and likely weeks that are -%. Any week where my PBI% IS >12% I am going to withdraw 75% of the overage and use it on nonpoker related expenses or for savings. If my PBI is >4% for the week I will not take any withdraw the following week.
Games/LevelsI know I will kill some limits or games, but may suffer on others. Since I want this challenge r to be fun to do, I am not going to limit myself to one particular game format. I dont want this to feel like a grind.
I set up a spreadsheet that will divide my bankroll by my minimum buyins for a game. I will allow myself a 5% variation of this calculated amount. For instance if I have a 100 bankroll and am going to play a STT, my min br requirement is 50 I would be constrained to $2 sng's, but will allow a 5% deviation up to $2.10 (not that these exist).
I plan to follow the following min br requirements which are on the conservative side. Therby reducing the impact of variance and my general peace of mind in playing at a specific level.
STT-50 buyins
MTT-150 buyins (rebuys 500x buyin)
NL-30x max buyin
PL-25x max buyin
FL-400bb
H/L FL- 300bb
Stop Loss - Anti-TILTI have been known to steam off, and am going to try to control that with a stop loss. When I hit my stop loss I am going to take no less than 30 mins off from playing, if I hit my stop loss twice in a 24hr period I wont play again until I have slept.
My stop losses are:
STT- 4 buyins
MTT- 12 buyins
NL PL- 3 buyins
FL - 30 blinds
So that is the initial layout for my challenge. I will fill in some more info in the next couple of days. I am trying to determine how much time I cna afford to have as a minimum weekly play.
At this point I am not going to play anymore until I actually commence my challenge maybe sometime this weekend, or at least by next weekend. I picked up a couple of books from the Stars FPP store and am going to read them over the next couple of days. I think I need to take a break anyway b/c of my bad run/tilt sessions. I also have a lot of things going on with the holidays.
I still plan on playing all of the Freerolls I am qualified for including the BPT final, Stars VIP freerolls, and a couple other leagues I play in.
I guess all of this also means that I will keep this blog running next year, and probably have updates about 2-3 times a week.